Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 53.68%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 46.32%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.03%E -8.04%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.90%E +0.862%K +1.58%G +0.030% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.87%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.13%EV +1.43%E +0.654%K +1.20%G +0.017% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.420%E -0.195%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.420%E -0.195%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%EV -0.883%E -0.413%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.35%E -0.632%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -1.35%E -0.632%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.35%E -0.632%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 23:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.81%E -0.854%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.83%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.81%E -0.854%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.27%E -1.08%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.76%E -0.961%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.20%E -1.53%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 23:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.66%E -1.76%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.52%E -3.13%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.13%E -1.99%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.59%E -2.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.59%E -2.23%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.52%E -3.13%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.13%E -4.12%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.51%E -2.70%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.98%E -2.94%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.98%E -2.94%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.98%E -2.94%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.66%E -4.46%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.90%E -3.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.66%E -4.46%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -6.90%E -3.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 23:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -0.685%E -0.370%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -9.22%E -4.70%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -0.685%E -0.370%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -9.22%E -4.70%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.76%E -0.961%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.76%E -0.961%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.15%E -5.23%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.15%E -5.23%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -10.61%E -5.50%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -11.07%E -5.77%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -12.46%E -6.59%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 23:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 23:25 |