Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 41.93%2.38fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%41.87%41.94%42.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.272.252.3544.84%43.99%44.35%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 58.07%1.72fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.18%58.13%58.06%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.651.7063.69%60.56%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 41.93%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 58.07%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.45%E -0.618%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.45%E -0.618%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.45%E -0.618%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.87%E -0.800%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -1.87%E -1.11%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.87%E -0.800%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.87%E -0.800%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.29%E -0.758%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 20:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 21:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 23:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 02:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.10%E -4.43%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 06:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.84%E -5.63%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.97%E -1.73%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.39%E -1.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.39%E -1.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 21:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 23:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 23:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 23:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.23%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 01:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 20:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.61%E -2.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.61%E -2.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.61%E -2.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.49%E -2.91%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.61%E -2.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 23:37 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-04-08 23:20 |