Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-04-19 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 4–7 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 51.35%1.95odd justa
EV +0.135%
Vantagem +0.069%
Kelly +0.142%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.87%51.42%51.38%53.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.851.851.9556.18%54.09%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 48.65%2.06odd justa
EV -0.270%
Vantagem -0.132%
Kelly -0.257%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.48%48.58%48.62%50.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.971.972.0552.63%50.66%50.76%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 51.35%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 48.65%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.947. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.950, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.135%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV +0.135%E +0.069%K +0.142%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 18:09
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.379%E -0.195%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-19 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -0.892%E -0.462%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.41%E -0.732%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.41%E -0.732%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:20
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.41%E -0.732%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:20
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 18:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:08
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.49%E -2.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.756%E -0.371%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:09
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.11%E -3.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.73%E -0.856%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.73%E -0.856%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:20
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-04-19 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-19 17:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-19 17:10
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-04-19 18:10
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%3.2%2026-04-19 18:09
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%7.5%2026-04-19 18:10