La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-04-19 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 4–7 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 51.35%1.95momio equitativo
EV +0.135%
Ventaja +0.069%
Kelly +0.142%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.87%51.42%51.38%53.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.851.851.9556.18%54.09%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 48.65%2.06momio equitativo
EV -0.270%
Ventaja -0.132%
Kelly -0.257%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.48%48.58%48.62%50.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.971.972.0552.63%50.66%50.76%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV +0.135%E +0.069%K +0.142%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 18:09
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.379%E -0.195%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-19 17:50
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -0.892%E -0.462%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:44
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.41%E -0.732%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:15
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.41%E -0.732%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:20
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.41%E -0.732%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 17:20
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 17:15
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 18:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.28%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:08
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:10
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.59%E -3.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:09
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:05
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:05
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:09
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:19
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 18:09
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.49%E -2.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.49%E -2.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:10
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -0.756%E -0.371%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 18:05
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:00
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:00
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:00
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:00
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:09
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.11%E -3.16%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.73%E -0.856%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.73%E -0.856%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 17:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 17:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.13%E -2.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:55
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:05
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:30
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.05%E -3.90%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.59%E -4.83%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.270%E -0.132%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-04-19 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-19 17:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-19 17:10
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.8%2026-04-19 18:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-04-19 18:10
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%3.2%2026-04-19 18:09
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%7.5%2026-04-19 18:10