Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 2–3 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 50.69%1.97fair odd
EV -0.132%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.136%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%50.69%50.80%53.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.881.9756.18%53.12%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 49.31%2.03fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.48%49.31%49.20%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.932.0554.05%51.76%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.69%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 49.31%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -9.76%E -5.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +1.08%E +0.525%K +1.03%G +0.011%5.0%2026-08-29 17:45
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 16:30
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.639%E -0.326%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:10
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:09
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:10
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:08
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.132%E -0.067%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:08
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 18:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:19
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.72%E -3.65%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:15
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:15
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:09
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:05
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:05
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:09
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.24%E -4.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%0.3%2026-08-29 18:10
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 16:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 18:05
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-08-29 18:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%3.6%2026-08-29 18:05