默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Baltimore Orioles

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 23:41 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Twins 2–5 Baltimore Orioles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 51.10%1.96公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.711%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.17%51.11%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.82%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Baltimore Orioles (客队)

预测 48.90%2.05公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.608%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.64%48.83%48.89%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.901.971.972.0252.63%50.88%50.76%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Twins (主队):51.10%;Baltimore Orioles (客队):48.90%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.02,期望值为-1.23%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-11 22:55
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:09
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%EV -1.88%E -0.980%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-11 19:40
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.88%E -0.980%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:04
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-10 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 23:34
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.90%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.72%E -0.854%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:09
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:29
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:49
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 21:50
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:39
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 18:49
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:28
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:35
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.99%E -3.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.50%E -4.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.55%E -5.39%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88%-0.1%2026-08-11 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-11 19:30
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-11 13:20
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-08-11 23:25