Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-11 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 2–5 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 51.10%1.96odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.711%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.17%51.11%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.82%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 48.90%2.05odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.64%48.83%48.89%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.971.972.0252.63%50.88%50.76%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 51.10%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 48.90%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.05. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -1.23%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-11 22:55
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:09
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%EV -1.88%E -0.980%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-11 19:40
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.88%E -0.980%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:04
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-10 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 23:34
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.90%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.72%E -0.854%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:09
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:29
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:49
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 21:50
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:39
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 18:49
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:28
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:35
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.99%E -3.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.50%E -4.15%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.55%E -5.39%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88%-0.1%2026-08-11 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:10
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-11 19:30
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-11 13:20
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-08-11 23:25