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Minnesota Twins v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV +0.490%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.395%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.03%44.74%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2450.00%46.77%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 55.14%1.81fair odd
EV -0.751%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.97%55.26%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.731.8060.24%57.77%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 44.86%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 55.14%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.490%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV +0.490%E +0.219%K +0.395%G +0.002% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.042%E +0.019%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%EV -0.407%E -0.183%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 23:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.407%E -0.183%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.407%E -0.183%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -0.856%E -0.387%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -6.82%E -4.03%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.30%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.30%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.30%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.30%E -0.593%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%EV -1.75%E -0.800%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%EV -1.30%E -0.728%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 00:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -1.75%E -0.800%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.10%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.10%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.10%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.92%E -4.74%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.00%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.26%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.26%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.67%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.79%E -2.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.26%E -3.69%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -6.69%E -3.22%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -0.751%E -0.417%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.58%E -3.68%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.96%E -1.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.48%E -4.16%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.48%E -4.16%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.51%E -2.00%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.28%E -5.14%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.06%E -2.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 23:44 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:05 |