Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-08-18 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 4–1 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 42.53%2.35odd justa
EV +0.796%
Vantagem +0.336%
Kelly +0.581%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.43%42.60%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.3746.51%44.46%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 57.47%1.74odd justa
EV -0.577%
Vantagem -0.333%
Kelly -0.790%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.57%57.40%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7362.50%60.06%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 42.53%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 57.47%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.35. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.796%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV +0.796%E +0.336%K +0.581%G +0.005%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-18 23:35
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.906%E -0.389%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 23:18
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.33%E -0.574%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-18 23:30
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.76%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.30%E -1.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 23:35
theScore Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.76%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 21:44
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.76%E -0.760%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 23:29
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 23:35
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.30%E -1.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 23:34
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 23:34
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.18%E -0.948%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.05%E -5.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.61%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 23:25
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.03%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.03%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.46%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 23:34
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.577%E -0.333%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 23:00
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 23:34
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 23:14
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 23:34
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 23:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 21:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:30
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.73%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -2.88%E -1.70%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:34
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.32%E -3.88%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.32%E -3.88%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:40
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.58%E -2.52%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 23:35
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.58%E -2.52%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.60%E -2.77%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 23:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.45%E -2.05%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.02%E -2.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 23:30
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 23:34
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.17%E -3.14%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.75%E -3.51%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.75%E -3.51%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.75%E -3.51%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:34
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:55
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.71%E -3.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.05%E -5.03%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.30%E -1.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.32%E -3.88%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-18 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-18 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-08-18 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-18 23:20
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-08-18 23:10
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-18 23:15
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-18 22:00
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-18 21:30
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-08-18 23:10
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-08-18 23:20