Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Athletics

Início: 2026-07-26 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 11–8 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 58.58%1.71odd justa
EV -0.410%
Vantagem -0.241%
Kelly -0.585%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.58%58.54%58.67%59.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.631.631.7063.29%61.27%61.35%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 41.42%2.41odd justa
EV +0.230%
Vantagem +0.095%
Kelly +0.162%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.45%41.46%41.33%42.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.312.302.4245.45%43.38%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 58.58%; Athletics (Visitante): 41.42%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.41. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.42, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.230%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.230%E +0.095%K +0.162%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 18:09
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.184%E -0.076%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 14:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.598%E -0.249%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.01%E -0.423%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.01%E -0.423%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:30
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.43%E -0.599%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 18:09
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.84%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.84%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.25%E -0.955%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:25
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 15:35
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:10
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.08%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:45
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.410%E -0.241%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.58%E -0.941%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.58%E -0.941%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 17:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 13:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:50
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:46
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:40
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.15%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.98%E -2.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.98%E -2.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 14:00
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.98%E -2.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 14:00
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:50
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.22%E -3.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.22%E -3.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:41
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.64%E -3.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-26 16:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-26 14:15
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-07-26 18:10
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-07-26 18:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%3.0%2026-07-26 18:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%4.1%2026-07-26 18:10