Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-07-26 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 11–8 Athletics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 58.58%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.410%
Ventaja -0.241%
Kelly -0.585%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.58%58.54%58.67%59.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.631.631.7063.29%61.27%61.35%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 41.42%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.230%
Ventaja +0.095%
Kelly +0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.45%41.46%41.33%42.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.4245.45%43.38%43.48%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 58.58%; Athletics (Visitante): 41.42%. Para Athletics (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.41. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.42, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.230%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.230%E +0.095%K +0.162%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 18:09
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.184%E -0.076%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 14:30
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -0.598%E -0.249%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.01%E -0.423%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.01%E -0.423%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 14:30
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.43%E -0.599%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 18:09
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.84%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.84%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.25%E -0.955%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 17:25
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 15:35
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 17:10
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.08%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:45
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.410%E -0.241%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.58%E -0.941%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.58%E -0.941%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 17:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 13:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:50
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:46
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:40
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.15%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.57%E -2.44%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.17%E -1.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.98%E -2.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.98%E -2.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 14:00
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.98%E -2.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 14:00
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:50
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.22%E -3.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.22%E -3.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:41
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.64%E -3.43%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-26 18:05
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-26 16:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-26 14:15
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-07-26 18:10
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-07-26 18:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%3.0%2026-07-26 18:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%4.1%2026-07-26 18:10