The School of Odds
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Milwaukee Brewers v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 00:16 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 3–2 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 62.63%1.60fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.47%62.68%63.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.521.5770.92%65.80%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 37.37%2.68fair odd
EV -0.226%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.135%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.43%37.53%37.32%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.542.552.6745.45%39.41%39.22%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 62.63%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 37.37%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.67, with an expected value of -0.226%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.67%E -1.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.47%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-22 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%EV -0.226%E -0.084%K -0.135%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-23 23:49
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-23 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -0.599%E -0.225%K -0.361%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-24 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.973%E -0.367%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-23 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.973%E -0.367%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-23 23:35
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.72%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-23 23:35
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 08:57
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 08:56
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.45%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.45%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.973%E -0.367%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-23 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -1.35%E -0.510%K -0.821%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-23 23:10
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.33%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.33%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:55
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -0.226%E -0.084%K -0.135%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-23 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 06:32
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 14:07
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.96%E -1.54%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 03:06
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 00:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 20:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 20:35
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.45%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.17%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -2.47%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 14:06
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 23:09
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 00:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 00:00
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -2.47%E -0.945%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 23:05
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 23:09
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.08%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.92%EV -11.44%E -4.83%K -8.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 00:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 19:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 00:10
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 14:07
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 19:44
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.18%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 00:14
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.18%E -6.33%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.61%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.39%EV -17.79%E -8.09%K -14.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-24 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.48%EV -11.69%E -8.29%K -28.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.52%EV -15.92%E -7.08%K -12.74%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-23 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-10-24 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-10-24 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-10-24 00:15
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-10-24 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-10-24 00:15
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-23 19:45
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-10-24 00:15
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%2.8%2026-10-24 00:15
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%3.8%2026-10-23 22:32
Matchbook◎1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%5.0%2026-10-24 00:15