Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 17:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 56.18%1.78fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.18%56.17%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7562.50%59.11%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 43.82%2.28fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.527%
Kelly +0.929%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%43.82%43.83%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3147.62%45.65%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.18%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 43.82%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +1.22%E +0.527%K +0.929%G +0.011%2.1%2026-04-01 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.536%E -0.236%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.41%E -0.628%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:27
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.41%E -0.628%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.41%E -0.628%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:40
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.68%E -0.960%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:40
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.29%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.73%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.73%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 17:40
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.68%E -0.960%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 17:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:40
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:40
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:33
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:38
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:39
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 17:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 17:38
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:38
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.48%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.92%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 17:39
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:40
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:37
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -10.11%E -6.32%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -6.23%E -2.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.24%E -1.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.67%E -3.13%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.11%E -3.35%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 56.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.77%-0.7%2026-04-01 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-01 17:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-01 17:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-01 17:40
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-01 17:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-01 17:40
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-01 17:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-04-01 17:40