La scuola delle quote

Milwaukee Brewers v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-06-12 23:41 UTC

Finale: Milwaukee Brewers 6–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Casa)

Previsione 68.43%1.46quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -5.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.06%68.38%68.31%69.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.391.391.4373.53%71.86%71.94%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.57%3.17quota equa
EV +1.03%
Vantaggio +0.323%
Kelly +0.469%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.28%31.62%31.69%32.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.033.053.2035.09%33.02%32.79%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +1.03%E +0.323%K +0.469%G +0.005%3.2%2026-06-12 21:30
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -0.546%E -0.173%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-12 20:40
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.546%E -0.173%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 23:10
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.546%E -0.173%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 18:20
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV -0.862%E -0.274%K -0.403%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:39
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 19:59
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 23:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 18:28
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:19
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.97%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -2.44%E -0.790%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:00
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:00
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 08:20
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 08:20
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 18:30
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 23:39
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 20:00
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 18:29
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:09
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:09
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:29
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:29
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:30
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:40
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:40
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -4.33%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-12 23:39
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -4.65%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 22:49
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 12:17
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 21:10
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 20:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 21:10
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 00:59
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 21:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 21:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:39
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 21:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 21:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 22:50
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 23:38
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.02%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.02%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 68.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 31.14%-1.2%2026-06-12 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-06-12 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-06-12 23:20
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-06-12 23:40