La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-06-12 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 68.43%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -5.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%68.38%68.31%69.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.391.391.4373.53%71.86%71.94%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 31.57%3.17momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.469%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.28%31.62%31.69%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.033.053.2035.09%33.02%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +1.03%E +0.323%K +0.469%G +0.005%3.2%2026-06-12 21:30
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV -0.546%E -0.173%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-12 20:40
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.546%E -0.173%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 23:10
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.546%E -0.173%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 18:20
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV -0.862%E -0.274%K -0.403%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:39
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 19:59
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 23:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 18:28
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.685%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:19
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.97%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -2.44%E -0.790%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:00
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:00
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 08:20
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -2.76%E -0.895%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 08:20
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.07%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 18:30
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 23:39
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 20:00
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 18:29
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:09
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:09
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:29
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:29
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:30
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:40
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:40
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -4.33%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-12 23:39
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -4.65%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 22:49
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 12:17
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 21:10
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.52%E -2.49%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 20:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 21:10
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 00:59
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.25%E -4.57%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 22:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 21:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 21:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.15%E -1.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.86%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:39
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.83%E -2.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 21:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 21:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 22:50
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.94%E -5.10%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.44%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 23:38
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.20%E -3.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.02%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.02%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 68.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 31.14%-1.2%2026-06-12 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-06-12 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-12 23:40
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-06-12 23:20
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%3.8%2026-06-12 23:40