L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 23:41 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 57.50%1.74cote équitable
EV -0.520%
Avantage -0.301%
Kelly -0.712%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%57.34%57.50%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.651.7362.50%60.29%60.61%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.50%2.35cote équitable
EV -0.557%
Avantage -0.238%
Kelly -0.416%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%42.66%42.50%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3447.62%44.37%44.44%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.520%E -0.301%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.36%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 23:39
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.67%E -0.977%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 23:14
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.83%E -0.793%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 23:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 23:34
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 23:34
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.982%E -0.421%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 14:14
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 23:39
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.557%E -0.238%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-17 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 22:54
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 22:55
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.83%E -0.793%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-17 22:54
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 22:44
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.23%E -2.35%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 23:39
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -0.982%E -0.421%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-17 23:34
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 21:04
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 21:04
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 17:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 15:14
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.53%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 18:19
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:59
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 11:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.81%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:09
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.66%E -2.55%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:19
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.66%E -2.55%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:43
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.66%E -2.55%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:09
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 23:39
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 17:04
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 14:17
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 21:34
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:40
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 18:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 18:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 14:15
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:54
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 14:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:14
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 17:40
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:04
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:04
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:04
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:04
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:04
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.53%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 17:04
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:34
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 06:25
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 23:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 17:14
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.21%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 23:38
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.23%E -2.35%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:04
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 21:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-07-17 23:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-07-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-07-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-07-17 23:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-17 23:39
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-17 22:49
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-17 20:59
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-17 23:39
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 58.37%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.63%1.4%2026-07-17 23:39
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-07-17 23:19