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Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Predicción 57.50%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.520%
Ventaja -0.301%
Kelly -0.712%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.34%57.50%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.651.7362.50%60.29%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 42.50%2.35momio equitativo
EV -0.557%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.416%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.66%42.50%44.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3447.62%44.37%44.44%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.50%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 42.50%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.74. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.73, con un valor esperado de -0.520%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.520%E -0.301%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.36%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.67%E -0.977%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.83%E -0.793%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-17 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.982%E -0.421%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-17 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.557%E -0.238%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-17 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-17 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.83%E -0.793%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.23%E -2.35%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -0.982%E -0.421%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.41%E -0.606%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-17 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-17 15:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.53%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-17 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 20:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.81%E -2.15%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.66%E -2.55%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.66%E -2.55%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 22:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.66%E -2.55%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 14:17 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.11%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.53%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.70%E -3.47%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.26%E -0.981%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 17:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.21%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 23:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.23%E -2.35%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.38%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-07-17 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-17 22:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-17 20:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.37% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.63% | 1.4% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |