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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-09-13 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 63.84%1.57odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.03%63.76%63.86%64.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.45%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 36.16%2.77odd justa
EV -0.553%
Vantagem -0.201%
Kelly -0.316%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.29%36.24%36.14%37.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.432.612.622.7541.15%38.27%38.17%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 63.84%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 36.16%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.77. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.75, com valor esperado de -0.553%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.69%E -1.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.36%E -0.875%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.69%E -1.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.69%E -1.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.69%E -1.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.69%E -1.10%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -1.28%E -0.468%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.36%E -0.875%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.36%E -0.875%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 16:33
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.81%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 15:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:05
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:05
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.33%E -1.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -1.64%E -0.602%K -0.953%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -1.64%E -0.602%K -0.953%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 17:05
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -2.00%E -0.738%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.72%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 18:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.97%E -1.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.81%E -1.43%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 15:30
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.06%E -2.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:05
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.61%E -2.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.06%E -2.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.553%E -0.201%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 16:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.89%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 17:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.25%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 03:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.24%E -2.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:05
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.36%E -0.875%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.08%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.25%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.88%E -3.28%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -5.52%E -3.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:05
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.16%E -4.19%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.80%E -4.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.44%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 17:58
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.44%E -5.13%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 17:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.07%E -5.61%K -18.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.25%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 15:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-09-13 18:05
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.23%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.77%0.2%2026-09-13 18:05
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-09-13 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-09-13 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-09-13 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-09-13 18:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-13 13:45
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-09-13 18:00