Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds

2026-09-13 18:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 63.96%1.56momio equitativo
EV -0.859%
Ventaja -0.554%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%63.98%63.86%66.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.5570.42%66.92%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 36.04%2.77momio equitativo
EV +0.906%
Ventaja +0.324%
Kelly +0.503%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.65%36.02%36.14%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.642.632.8040.00%37.94%38.02%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 63.96%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 36.04%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.77. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.906%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.906%E +0.324%K +0.503%G +0.005%6.1%2026-09-13 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.42%E -2.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.896%E -0.326%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 06:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.42%E -2.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.896%E -0.326%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 06:50
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.42%E -2.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.896%E -0.326%K -0.512%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 07:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.896%E -0.326%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 03:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.896%E -0.326%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 07:12
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.14%E -1.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.70%E -0.999%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 03:50
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.70%E -0.999%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 04:15
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.70%E -0.999%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 03:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.70%E -0.999%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 05:35
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -3.06%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 08:23
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -0.859%E -0.554%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -3.78%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 04:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.78%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 08:24
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.42%E -2.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -4.14%E -1.56%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 03:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 08:25
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 03:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 03:40
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 03:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 03:45
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 05:09
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 06:12
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 06:10
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 03:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.50%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.22%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 09:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.58%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.58%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 03:45
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.58%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 06:10
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.58%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 03:35
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.78%E -1.83%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 03:43
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 03:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 03:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 03:40
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 04:30
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.34%E -3.61%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 07:40
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 04:24
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.30%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 04:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.06%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.66%E -2.57%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 04:05
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.42%E -2.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.38%E -2.87%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 03:45
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.42%E -2.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.38%E -2.87%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.14%E -1.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 03:40
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.14%E -1.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.10%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.10%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.10%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.10%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 06:15
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-09-13 07:15
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-09-13 08:15
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-13 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-09-13 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-09-13 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-09-13 09:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-13 04:40
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-13 04:55
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-13 08:15
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.92%10.1%2026-09-13 04:25