Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-06-26 23:46 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–2 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 68.20%1.47odd justa
EV -0.427%
Vantagem -0.292%
Kelly -0.927%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.13%68.25%68.18%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.391.401.4674.63%71.83%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 31.80%3.14odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.459%
Kelly -0.678%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%31.75%31.82%32.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.033.003.1034.48%33.05%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 68.20%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 31.80%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.47. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.46, com valor esperado de -0.427%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.427%E -0.292%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-26 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -1.79%E -1.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.06%E -0.669%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.06%E -0.669%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 22:40
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -3.65%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-26 22:40
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -3.97%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 23:29
Everygame🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-26 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 22:40
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 20:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.92%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 22:28
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 21:50
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:59
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:59
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 21:48
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.97%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:39
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:19
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:49
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:39
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 21:59
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.65%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 22:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.38%E -0.774%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 23:38
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 21:19
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 23:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 23:19
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-06-26 23:40
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-06-26 22:50
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-06-26 22:39
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:30
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-06-26 22:59
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29