La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-06-26 23:46 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–2 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 68.20%1.47momio equitativo
EV -0.427%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.927%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.13%68.25%68.18%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.391.401.4674.63%71.83%71.43%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 31.80%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.459%
Kelly -0.678%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%31.75%31.82%32.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.033.003.1034.48%33.05%33.33%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -0.427%E -0.292%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-26 22:50
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -1.79%E -1.24%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -3.33%E -1.10%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.06%E -0.669%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 22:39
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV -2.06%E -0.669%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 22:40
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -3.65%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-26 22:40
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.47%E -1.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -3.97%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 23:29
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-26 21:09
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 22:40
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 20:39
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -4.92%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 22:28
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 22:19
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 21:50
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.84%E -2.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:39
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:59
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 22:59
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 21:48
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.97%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:39
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:10
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 21:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:49
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 21:50
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:39
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 21:59
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.65%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:59
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 23:40
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.38%E -0.774%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:39
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 23:38
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 21:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:39
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.459%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 21:19
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 23:38
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 23:19
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.01%E -0.988%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-26 23:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-06-26 23:40
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-06-26 22:50
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-06-26 22:39
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:30
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-06-26 22:59
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29