Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-08-21 23:11 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 3–2 Washington Nationals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 57.45%1.74quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -3.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%57.49%57.49%58.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.671.671.7062.50%60.05%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.55%2.35quota equa
EV +0.421%
Vantaggio +0.178%
Kelly +0.309%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.03%42.51%42.51%43.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.242.252.3646.51%44.55%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 57.45%; Washington Nationals (Trasferta): 42.55%. Per Washington Nationals (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.35. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.36, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.421%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.421%E +0.178%K +0.309%G +0.001%1.9%2026-08-21 11:14
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 12:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 05:14
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.430%E -0.184%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 22:45
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.856%E -0.367%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 13:04
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.28%E -0.552%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 19:39
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.28%E -0.552%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 23:10
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.71%E -0.739%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.71%E -0.739%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.71%E -0.739%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 13:05
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.13%E -0.927%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 13:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.13%E -0.927%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -2.56%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 11:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 18:30
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:25
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 21:14
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 21:24
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 15:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:44
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.69%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:28
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 17:54
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.09%E -3.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 22:43
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.78%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.51%E -4.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 22:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-21 23:10
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-21 23:10
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 22:50
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 11:55
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 22:54
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-21 22:45