StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-21 23:11 UTC

Endstand: Miami Marlins 3–2 Washington Nationals

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 57.45%1.74faire Quote
EV -2.34%
Vorteil -1.37%
Kelly -3.34%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.58%57.49%57.49%58.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.671.671.7062.50%60.05%59.88%58.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Auswärts)

Prognose 42.55%2.35faire Quote
EV +0.421%
Vorteil +0.178%
Kelly +0.309%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.03%42.51%42.51%43.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.242.252.3646.51%44.55%44.44%42.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Miami Marlins (Heim): 57.45%; Washington Nationals (Auswärts): 42.55%. Für Washington Nationals (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.35. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.36 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.421%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.421%E +0.178%K +0.309%G +0.001%1.9%2026-08-21 11:14
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 12:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 05:14
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.430%E -0.184%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 22:45
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.856%E -0.367%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 13:04
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.28%E -0.552%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 19:39
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -1.28%E -0.552%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 23:10
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.71%E -0.739%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.71%E -0.739%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.71%E -0.739%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-21 13:05
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.13%E -0.927%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 13:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.13%E -0.927%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -2.56%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 11:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 18:30
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:25
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.34%E -1.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.91%E -1.72%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 21:14
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 21:24
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 00:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 15:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:44
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.69%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:28
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:29
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 17:54
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 21:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.09%E -3.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 22:43
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.78%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.51%E -4.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 22:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-21 23:10
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-21 23:10
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 22:50
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 11:55
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-21 22:54
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-21 22:45