Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Początek: 2026-08-23 17:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Miami Marlins 6–2 Washington Nationals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.63%1.68kurs godziwy
EV -1.01%
Przewaga -0.611%
Kelly -1.54%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.66

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.69%59.63%59.50%60.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.09%62.11%60.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Washington Nationals (Goście)

Prognoza 40.37%2.48kurs godziwy
EV -0.287%
Przewaga -0.116%
Kelly -0.195%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.47

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.24%40.37%40.50%42.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.232.352.352.4744.84%42.52%42.55%40.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Miami Marlins (Gospodarze): 59.63%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 40.37%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.48. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.47, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.287%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.01%E -0.611%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.01%E -0.611%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.01%E -0.611%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 17:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.61%E -0.976%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.09%E -0.447%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-23 03:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.61%E -0.976%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.17%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:14
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.21%E -1.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.287%E -0.116%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-23 05:33
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.21%E -1.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.21%E -1.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.34%E -2.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.21%E -1.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.34%E -2.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV -0.287%E -0.116%K -0.195%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-23 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.690%E -0.281%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 16:35
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.09%E -0.447%K -0.755%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.09%E -0.447%K -0.755%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.90%E -0.782%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.90%E -0.782%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 17:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 17:29
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 17:29
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 17:28
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 17:29
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.90%E -0.782%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 12:25
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.92%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.92%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:04
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:04
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:29
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 02:19
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 17:04
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 17:27
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.92%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 17:08
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.94%E -2.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.94%E -2.55%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.34%E -2.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.96%E -3.49%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.96%E -3.49%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 17:29
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.92%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 17:40
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 17:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 12:25
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.78%E -3.66%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.78%E -3.66%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 17:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.78%E -3.66%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 17:04
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.38%E -4.06%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.38%E -4.06%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 15:15
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.38%E -4.06%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.38%E -4.06%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.17%E -4.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.36%E -3.68%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 17:13
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -9.98%E -4.47%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.57%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 11:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.57%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 17:29
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.57%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 17:28
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%-0.1%2026-08-23 17:34
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-23 17:40
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-23 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-08-23 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-08-23 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-08-23 17:40
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-23 17:39
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-23 17:04
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-08-23 17:40
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-08-23 17:24