A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-04-20 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 5–3 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 55.37%1.81odd justa
EV -0.330%
Vantagem -0.183%
Kelly -0.413%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%55.05%55.28%56.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.731.721.8059.52%57.94%58.14%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 44.63%2.24odd justa
EV +0.859%
Vantagem +0.380%
Kelly +0.682%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.30%44.95%44.72%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.57%46.51%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.859%E +0.380%K +0.682%G +0.006%1.7%2026-04-20 22:38
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.034%E -0.015%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-20 22:35
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.480%E -0.215%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.480%E -0.215%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 22:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.480%E -0.215%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 22:39
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.37%E -0.621%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 21:40
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-20 19:54
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-20 22:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:40
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 22:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 22:35
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 22:26
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 22:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 22:00
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 19:30
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:39
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 19:43
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:55
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 19:19
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 20:09
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 20:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 20:14
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:38
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:04
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:15
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 19:20
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 22:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 21:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.32%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 19:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 01:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -0.330%E -0.183%K -0.413%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.62%E -3.68%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 22:40
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 22:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 20:14
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.330%E -0.183%K -0.413%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.44%E -0.808%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-20 22:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-04-20 22:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-20 22:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-20 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-20 22:25
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%2.1%2026-04-20 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-20 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-04-20 22:20