La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-04-20 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 5–3 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 55.37%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.330%
Ventaja -0.183%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.05%55.28%56.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.731.721.8059.52%57.94%58.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 44.63%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.859%
Ventaja +0.380%
Kelly +0.682%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.30%44.95%44.72%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.57%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.859%E +0.380%K +0.682%G +0.006%1.7%2026-04-20 22:38
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.034%E -0.015%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-20 22:35
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.480%E -0.215%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.480%E -0.215%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 22:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.480%E -0.215%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 22:39
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.37%E -0.621%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 21:40
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-20 19:54
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-20 22:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:40
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.82%E -0.827%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 22:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 22:35
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 22:26
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 22:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.71%E -1.24%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 22:00
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 19:30
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:39
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.10%E -1.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 19:43
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:55
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 19:19
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 20:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 20:09
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 20:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 20:14
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:38
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:04
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.87%E -3.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:15
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 19:20
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.76%E -2.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 22:40
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 21:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.32%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 19:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 21:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 01:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.31%E -3.11%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -0.330%E -0.183%K -0.413%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.62%E -3.68%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 22:40
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 22:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.21%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 20:14
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.330%E -0.183%K -0.413%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.44%E -0.808%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.99%E -1.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-20 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-04-20 22:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-04-20 22:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-20 22:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-20 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-20 22:25
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%2.1%2026-04-20 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-20 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-04-20 22:20