L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 17:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 2–1 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 43.64%2.29cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.538%
Kelly +0.945%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.48%43.52%43.59%45.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.22%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.36%1.77cote équitable
EV -0.808%
Avantage -0.459%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%56.48%56.41%58.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.681.7662.50%59.41%59.52%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV +1.25%E +0.538%K +0.945%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-21 17:29
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.374%E +0.163%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.374%E +0.163%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 17:39
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.374%E +0.163%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:29
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:29
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:29
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:29
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:29
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 17:39
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 17:39
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 17:39
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 17:39
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.94%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-21 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 06:00
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 07:29
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 17:20
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 10:29
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.83%E -6.14%K -16.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 17:40
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-21 17:30
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -0.808%E -0.459%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-21 17:39
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 17:28
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.94%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.94%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 17:39
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-21 17:39
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 17:29
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 17:39
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 17:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 17:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 14:30
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 23:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 14:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 10:49
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 14:29
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 14:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:49
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 18:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:10
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 19:59
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.43%E -2.02%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 14:29
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 15:48
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 17:29
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.74%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 17:30
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.74%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 17:39
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.74%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 17:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 17:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:59
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 17:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 14:29
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 17:29
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 14:29
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 17:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 17:39
Betclic (FR)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.92%E -3.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 17:29
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.06%E -1.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-21 17:40
BetOpenly2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-06-21 17:39
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-20 22:39
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-06-21 17:40
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%1.5%2026-06-21 17:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-06-21 17:30
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-06-21 17:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-06-21 17:40