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Miami Marlins v San Francisco Giants
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 43.64%2.29momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.538%
Kelly +0.945%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.48%43.52%43.59%45.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.3247.62%45.22%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Francisco Giants (Visitante)
Predicción 56.36%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.808%
Ventaja -0.459%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%56.48%56.41%58.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7662.50%59.41%59.52%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 43.64%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 56.36%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV +1.25%E +0.538%K +0.945%G +0.012% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.374%E +0.163%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.374%E +0.163%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.374%E +0.163%K +0.288%G +0.001% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.57%E -4.62%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.499%E -0.219%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.13%E -4.99%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.94%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-21 06:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-21 07:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-21 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 10:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.81%E -0.803%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.83%E -6.14%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -0.808%E -0.459%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-21 17:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.94%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.94%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-20 23:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 10:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 18:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.43%E -2.02%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 14:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-21 15:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.74%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.74%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.74%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.37%E -0.784%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.63%E -2.12%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.19%E -2.46%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.75%E -2.81%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.32%E -3.16%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 14:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.88%E -3.52%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 14:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.44%E -3.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -7.92%E -3.75%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.01%E -4.25%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 17:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.06%E -1.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-06-20 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 1.5% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-06-21 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-06-21 17:40 |