La scuola delle quote

Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-07-24 23:11 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 2–4 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 52.86%1.89quota equa
EV -0.627%
Vantaggio -0.333%
Kelly -0.712%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.58%52.71%52.86%53.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.811.811.8857.14%55.20%55.25%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.14%2.12quota equa
EV -1.00%
Vantaggio -0.477%
Kelly -0.911%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.34%47.29%47.14%48.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.022.022.1051.55%49.52%49.50%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.627%E -0.333%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 22:55
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.68%E -0.905%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.68%E -0.905%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.47%E -0.705%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-24 23:09
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.42%E -1.17%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:10
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.74%E -1.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.00%E -0.477%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.00%E -0.477%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 23:05
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 22:49
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 23:00
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:55
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 23:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.54%E -4.40%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 23:10
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 22:55
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:09
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.19%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:50
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:24
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 21:35
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.25%E -2.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:55
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 20:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:59
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:55
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.38%E -3.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:09
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.38%E -3.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.30%E -2.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.38%E -3.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.19%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.91%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:25
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.91%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 23:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:40
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 22:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.50%E -4.28%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-24 22:20
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-24 23:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%5.0%2026-07-24 22:55