مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres

البداية: 2026-07-24 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 2–4 San Diego Padres

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.86%1.89السعر العادل
EV -0.627%
الأفضلية -0.333%
Kelly -0.712%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.58%52.71%52.86%53.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.811.811.8857.14%55.20%55.25%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Diego Padres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.14%2.12السعر العادل
EV -1.00%
الأفضلية -0.477%
Kelly -0.911%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.34%47.29%47.14%48.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.942.022.022.1051.55%49.52%49.50%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.627%E -0.333%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 22:55
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.68%E -0.905%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.68%E -0.905%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.47%E -0.705%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-24 23:09
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.42%E -1.17%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:10
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.21%E -1.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.74%E -1.49%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.00%E -0.477%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.00%E -0.477%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 23:05
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 22:49
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 23:00
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:55
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.66%E -3.36%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.27%E -1.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 23:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.80%E -2.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.54%E -4.40%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 23:10
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.89%E -1.40%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 22:55
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:09
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 23:00
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.19%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:50
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:24
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:10
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 21:35
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.77%E -2.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.25%E -2.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:55
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 20:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:59
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.07%E -4.14%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:55
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.38%E -3.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.83%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:09
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.38%E -3.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.30%E -2.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.38%E -3.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.19%E -3.11%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.91%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:25
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.91%E -3.32%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.13%E -3.62%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 23:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.36%E -1.64%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:40
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.44%E -3.64%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.97%E -3.96%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.60%E -3.88%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 22:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.50%E -4.28%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.72%E -2.86%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-24 22:20
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-24 23:05
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%5.0%2026-07-24 22:55