Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-12 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 8–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 52.81%1.89odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.667%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.67%52.64%52.76%53.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.821.821.8756.82%54.99%54.95%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 47.19%2.12odd justa
EV -0.427%
Vantagem -0.203%
Kelly -0.385%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.04%47.36%47.24%49.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.012.012.1152.63%49.69%49.75%47.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 52.81%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 47.19%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.11, com valor esperado de -0.427%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:14
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 22:30
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 20:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.37%E -0.656%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 20:45
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.34%E -5.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.34%E -5.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -9.39%E -4.89%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:39
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.899%E -0.428%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 22:39
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.899%E -0.428%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.37%E -0.656%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.37%E -0.656%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.20%E -2.07%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:15
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:14
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:14
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 22:24
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 22:14
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 22:40
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -0.427%E -0.203%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 19:39
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:35
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.15%E -2.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:39
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 20:11
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 22:37
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 22:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-08-12 22:40
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-12 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-12 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-12 22:30
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-12 19:40
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-08-12 22:25
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-12 20:45
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-08-12 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%2.7%2026-08-12 22:24