StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-12 22:41 UTC

Endstand: Miami Marlins 8–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 52.81%1.89faire Quote
EV -1.25%
Vorteil -0.667%
Kelly -1.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.87

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.67%52.64%52.76%53.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.761.821.821.8756.82%54.99%54.95%53.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.19%2.12faire Quote
EV -0.427%
Vorteil -0.203%
Kelly -0.385%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.04%47.36%47.24%49.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.902.012.012.1152.63%49.69%49.75%47.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Miami Marlins (Heim): 52.81%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts): 47.19%. Für Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.12. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.11, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.427%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.25%E -0.667%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:14
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.32%E -1.12%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 22:30
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 20:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.77%E -0.954%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.37%E -0.656%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 20:45
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.34%E -5.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.34%E -5.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -9.39%E -4.89%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:39
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.899%E -0.428%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 22:39
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.899%E -0.428%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.37%E -0.656%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.37%E -0.656%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.20%E -2.07%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:15
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:14
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:14
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 22:24
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 22:14
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.73%E -1.83%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 21:29
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 22:40
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.42%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -0.427%E -0.203%K -0.385%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 19:39
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:35
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.15%E -2.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:39
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.03%E -3.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 20:11
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 22:37
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.92%E -4.62%K -9.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 22:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-08-12 22:40
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-12 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-12 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-12 22:30
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-12 19:40
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-08-12 22:25
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-12 20:45
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%2.4%2026-08-12 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%2.7%2026-08-12 22:24