Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v New York Mets

Início: 2026-09-09 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 14–15 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 53.13%1.88odd justa
EV +2.02%
Vantagem +1.05%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescimento +0.044%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.74%53.01%53.17%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.811.801.9257.14%55.29%55.56%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 46.87%2.13odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.752%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%46.99%46.83%50.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.022.022.1052.63%49.52%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 53.13%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.87%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.88. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.92, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.19%G +0.044%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -10.95%E -5.76%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:05
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.17%E -0.630%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-09 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 11:05
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.52%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.52%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.58%E -0.752%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 15:30
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 16:04
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:44
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 20:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 12:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 11:04
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 11:05
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 11:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 11:04
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 11:04
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 12:05
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 15:48
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 11:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 04:44
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 14:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 04:44
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 04:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 04:44
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 04:45
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 04:49
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 04:44
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 04:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.80%E -2.88%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 04:49
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 02:44
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 03:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 04:45
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 12:05
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 04:44
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 04:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 04:45
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -10.48%E -5.49%K -11.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -5.80%E -2.88%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.49%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 15:24
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 04:44
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 04:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-09-09 16:40
ProphetX◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-09-09 17:25
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-09 04:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-09 14:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-09 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-09 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-09-09 15:30
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-09-09 12:15
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-09-09 15:30