Idioma:Español
Miami Marlins v New York Mets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 53.13%1.88momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%53.01%53.17%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.811.801.9257.14%55.29%55.56%52.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 46.87%2.13momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.752%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%46.99%46.83%50.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.022.1052.63%49.52%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 53.13%; New York Mets (Visitante): 46.87%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.88. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.92, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.02%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.19%G +0.044% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -10.95%E -5.76%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.17%E -0.630%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.70%E -0.921%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.52%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.52%E -1.21%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.58%E -0.752%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.05%E -0.980%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 15:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.77%E -1.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.14%E -4.15%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:48 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.83%E -2.12%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 04:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 04:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 04:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 04:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 04:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 04:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 04:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 04:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.80%E -2.88%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 04:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 03:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.67%E -3.89%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.86%E -2.39%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 04:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 04:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 04:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -5.42%E -3.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -10.48%E -5.49%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -5.80%E -2.88%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.49%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.92%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 04:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.02%E -4.01%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 04:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 04:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |