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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers

Início: 2026-09-13 17:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 6–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 44.69%2.24odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.760%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.90%44.73%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.142.2050.00%47.04%46.73%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Previsão 55.31%1.81odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.560%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%55.10%55.27%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.81%57.80%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 44.69%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 55.31%. Para Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.79, com valor esperado de -1.00%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.67%E -0.760%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.67%E -0.760%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 15:05
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.67%E -0.760%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.53%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.67%E -0.760%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.75%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.12%E -0.968%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.56%E -0.874%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-13 17:15
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.968%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 17:10
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:35
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.00%E -0.560%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:14
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:40
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 15:04
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:20
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:10
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:45
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 14:05
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:54
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 17:10
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:10
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:10
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:10
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:10
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.35%E -2.03%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.80%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:10
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 15:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:35
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.04%E -3.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.56%E -0.874%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:40
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.04%E -3.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.04%E -3.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:40
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.48%E -3.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.48%E -3.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.48%E -3.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.09%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 17:11
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.19%E -4.94%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:34
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.77%E -2.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%0.8%2026-09-13 17:40
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 17:10
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-13 17:40
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-09-13 17:40
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-09-13 17:40
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-09-13 17:40
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%3.3%2026-09-13 17:20