Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-09-13 17:40 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 42.21%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.521%
Kelly -0.910%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.65%42.28%42.15%43.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3447.62%44.67%44.44%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.79%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.19%57.72%57.85%58.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7062.50%60.19%60.24%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Marlins (Local): 42.21%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 57.79%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.34, con un valor esperado de -1.22%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.22%E -0.521%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.92%E -1.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.22%E -0.521%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.92%E -1.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 20:15
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.22%E -0.521%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 00:55
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.64%E -0.705%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.34%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 01:50
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.64%E -0.705%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.92%E -1.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.91%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.91%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 01:15
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.91%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 02:40
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.91%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 20:15
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.91%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.91%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.75%E -1.65%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.08%E -2.45%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 01:30
DraftKings🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.75%E -1.65%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.60%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 01:45
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.92%E -1.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 00:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 00:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 00:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:20
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:59
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 20:17
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 23:45
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.96%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:14
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.02%E -2.23%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.96%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:15
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.44%E -2.43%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.92%E -1.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.44%E -2.43%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.08%E -2.45%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 01:20
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.86%E -2.63%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.92%E -1.74%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 01:05
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.86%E -2.63%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.08%E -2.45%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.86%E -2.63%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.81%E -3.56%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 00:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.29%E -2.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.08%E -2.45%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 00:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.29%E -2.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.08%E -2.45%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 02:01
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 02:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 02:01
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 00:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 01:00
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 00:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 02:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.13%E -3.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.96%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 00:44
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.97%E -3.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 02:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.97%E -3.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 02:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.97%E -3.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 02:00
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.97%E -3.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 02:00
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.97%E -3.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 02:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 02:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.50%E -2.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.24%E -4.30%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 21:00
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -11.35%E -5.41%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -5.81%E -3.56%K -9.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 02:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-09-13 02:40
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-09-13 01:05
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-13 02:20
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-12 23:55
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-09-13 01:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%5.2%2026-09-13 02:20
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%9.6%2026-09-13 02:40