Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 63.63%1.57fair odd
EV -0.734%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%63.47%63.59%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5669.93%66.80%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 36.37%2.75fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.53%36.41%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.602.7043.48%38.81%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 63.63%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 36.37%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -0.734%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%EV -0.734%E -0.470%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%EV -3.63%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-27 23:09
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.37%E -0.884%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -2.90%E -1.09%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-27 22:58
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.37%E -0.884%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:09
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.37%E -0.884%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.53%E -0.946%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -2.53%E -0.946%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 23:10
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.01%E -1.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.81%E -3.95%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:09
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.64%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 23:09
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.64%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.64%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.64%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.64%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.64%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.35%E -7.11%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.28%E -2.16%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.53%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:02
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.92%E -2.59%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.63%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:09
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.92%E -2.59%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.63%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:09
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.92%E -2.59%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.72%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:07
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.92%E -2.59%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.81%E -0.669%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 22:57
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.81%E -0.669%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.63%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.72%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.72%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.55%E -3.03%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:10
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.82%E -3.94%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.63%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.82%E -3.94%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.82%E -3.94%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.82%E -3.94%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.82%E -3.94%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.26%E -2.85%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -5.82%E -3.94%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV -8.72%E -3.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.46%E -4.40%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.63%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.46%E -4.40%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -3.99%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.46%E -4.40%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.46%E -4.40%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.46%E -4.40%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.46%E -4.40%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.73%E -5.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.73%E -5.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.37%E -5.81%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.72%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.37%E -5.81%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.08%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.37%E -5.81%K -19.02%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.81%E -3.95%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.01%E -6.30%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.01%E -6.30%K -20.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -12.72%E -5.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 23:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 23:10
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-27 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-27 23:10
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-03-27 23:10