Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-26 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–0 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 44.96%2.22odd justa
EV -0.183%
Vantagem -0.083%
Kelly -0.150%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.44%45.32%44.87%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.122.122.2251.28%47.28%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 55.04%1.82odd justa
EV +0.719%
Vantagem +0.393%
Kelly +0.866%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.68%55.13%56.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.29%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 44.96%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 55.04%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.82. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.719%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.28%E -4.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV +0.719%E +0.393%K +0.866%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-26 22:39
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -4.23%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV +0.168%E +0.093%K +0.205%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.08%E -5.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.932%E -0.518%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 22:39
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.08%E -5.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.932%E -0.518%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-26 22:29
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.53%E -0.700%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 22:39
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-26 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-26 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:34
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:30
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.98%E -0.909%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.98%E -0.909%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 22:29
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.183%E -0.083%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 22:33
theScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.88%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.13%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 22:29
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.98%E -0.909%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 22:33
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:05
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 20:44
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.32%E -6.32%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-26 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.32%E -6.32%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-26 22:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 22:29
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.03%E -2.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:34
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:34
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 19:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 22:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:33
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.93%E -3.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.93%E -3.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 22:04
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:34
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:39
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.44%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:04
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.99%E -4.13%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.28%E -4.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -6.99%E -4.13%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 22:29
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.18%E -4.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 22:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 22:32
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-08-26 22:39
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%0.4%2026-08-26 22:40
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-26 22:19
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-26 22:29
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-08-26 22:39
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:39
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-26 22:09