Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-26 22:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 4–0 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 44.96%2.22cote équitable
EV -0.183%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.150%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.44%45.32%44.87%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.122.2251.28%47.28%47.17%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.04%1.82cote équitable
EV +0.719%
Avantage +0.393%
Kelly +0.866%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.68%55.13%56.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8359.88%57.29%57.14%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 44.96% ; Boston Red Sox (Visiteur) : 55.04%. Pour Boston Red Sox (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.82. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.83, soit une espérance positive de +0.719%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.28%E -4.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV +0.719%E +0.393%K +0.866%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-26 22:39
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -4.23%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV +0.168%E +0.093%K +0.205%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.08%E -5.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.932%E -0.518%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 22:39
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.08%E -5.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.932%E -0.518%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-26 22:29
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.53%E -0.700%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 22:39
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-26 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-26 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.97%E -5.54%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:34
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:30
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.98%E -0.909%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.98%E -0.909%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 22:29
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.183%E -0.083%K -0.150%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 22:33
theScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.88%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.13%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.13%E -1.78%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 22:29
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.98%E -0.909%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 22:33
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:05
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 20:44
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.48%E -3.11%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.32%E -6.32%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-26 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.32%E -6.32%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.68%E -2.11%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-26 22:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 22:29
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.03%E -2.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:34
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:34
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 19:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 22:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:33
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.93%E -3.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.93%E -3.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.34%E -3.10%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 22:04
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:34
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 22:39
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.78%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.44%E -3.79%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:04
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.08%E -0.492%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.99%E -4.13%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.28%E -4.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -6.99%E -4.13%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 22:29
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.18%E -4.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 22:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 22:32
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-08-26 22:39
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%0.4%2026-08-26 22:40
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-26 22:19
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-26 22:29
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-08-26 22:39
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-26 22:39
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-26 22:09