Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-05-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 12–0 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 51.15%1.96odd justa
EV -0.256%
Vantagem -0.131%
Kelly -0.270%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%51.27%51.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.31%53.19%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 48.85%2.05odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.656%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.73%48.95%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.952.0253.48%51.47%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 51.15%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 48.85%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.96. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.95, com valor esperado de -0.256%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.256%E -0.131%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:39
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.256%E -0.131%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 22:35
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:39
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.81%E -0.902%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.81%E -0.902%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:35
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:05
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 22:15
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 22:35
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 02:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 04:15
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 22:15
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.88%E -3.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.32%E -0.656%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 18:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 22:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%0.0%2026-05-18 22:39
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-18 22:40
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40