La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-05-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 12–0 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 51.15%1.96momio equitativo
EV -0.256%
Ventaja -0.131%
Kelly -0.270%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.47%51.27%51.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.31%53.19%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 48.85%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.656%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.73%48.95%50.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.941.952.0253.48%51.47%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.256%E -0.131%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:39
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.256%E -0.131%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.77%E -1.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 21:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 22:35
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.28%E -0.663%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.81%E -0.902%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 14:10
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.81%E -0.902%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:35
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 22:35
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:40
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:05
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 20:25
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:39
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 22:15
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:35
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.33%E -1.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 13:50
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 22:35
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 22:35
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 18:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 13:40
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:35
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 02:35
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 04:15
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 22:29
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:30
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:15
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 18:20
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 22:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:30
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.90%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.88%E -3.20%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.32%E -0.656%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 22:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.39%E -3.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 18:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 19:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.30%E -1.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.28%E -1.66%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.26%E -2.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 18:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.93%E -4.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 22:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%0.0%2026-05-18 22:39
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-18 22:40
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-05-18 22:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-18 22:40
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-05-18 22:40