La scuola delle quote

Miami Marlins v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inizio: 2026-06-09 22:41 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 10–6 Arizona Diamondbacks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 55.92%1.79quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -0.901%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.29%55.80%55.99%57.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.73%58.82%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.08%2.27quota equa
EV +1.39%
Vantaggio +0.604%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.64%44.20%44.01%45.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.172.182.3048.78%45.99%45.87%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.39%E +0.604%K +1.07%G +0.015%2.0%2026-06-09 22:29
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.39%E +0.604%K +1.07%G +0.015%2.0%2026-06-09 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.067%E +0.030%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 22:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.067%E +0.030%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 22:19
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.374%E -0.165%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-09 22:40
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.26%E -0.560%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 18:59
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.26%E -0.560%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 19:49
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.70%E -0.761%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-09 22:39
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.14%E -0.963%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 22:39
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.14%E -0.963%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 22:28
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-09 22:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:19
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 18:59
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.62%E -3.96%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:20
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.82%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 22:39
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 22:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:29
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 22:20
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 22:39
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 22:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.18%E -4.32%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 22:39
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 19:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 19:00
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:29
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:29
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:29
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:27
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:59
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:40
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:29
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 22:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.62%E -3.96%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 20:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 19:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.82%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 19:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.74%E -4.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 22:36
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -1.59%E -0.901%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -7.87%E -3.76%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 19:19
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.82%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 19:19
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 22:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-09 22:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-06-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-09 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-09 22:20
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-09 19:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-09 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-06-09 22:29
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-06-09 22:40