مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-06-09 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 10–6 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.92%1.79السعر العادل
EV -1.59%
الأفضلية -0.901%
Kelly -2.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.29%55.80%55.99%57.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.73%58.82%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.08%2.27السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.604%
Kelly +1.07%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.64%44.20%44.01%45.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.172.182.3048.78%45.99%45.87%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.39%E +0.604%K +1.07%G +0.015%2.0%2026-06-09 22:29
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.39%E +0.604%K +1.07%G +0.015%2.0%2026-06-09 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.067%E +0.030%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 22:29
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +0.067%E +0.030%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 22:19
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.374%E -0.165%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-09 22:40
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.26%E -0.560%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 18:59
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.26%E -0.560%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 19:49
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.70%E -0.761%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-09 22:39
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.14%E -0.963%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-09 22:39
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.14%E -0.963%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-09 22:28
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-09 22:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:19
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 18:59
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.62%E -3.96%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:20
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.82%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 22:39
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 22:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 22:29
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:39
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 22:20
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 22:39
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 22:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.18%E -4.32%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 22:39
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 19:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 19:00
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:29
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:29
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:29
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 19:27
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:59
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:40
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 18:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 22:29
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 22:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.62%E -3.96%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 20:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 18:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 19:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.82%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 19:20
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.74%E -4.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.43%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 22:36
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -1.59%E -0.901%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -7.87%E -3.76%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 19:19
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.82%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 19:19
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.50%E -3.25%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 22:18
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-09 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-06-09 22:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-06-09 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-09 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-09 22:20
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-09 19:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-09 22:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-06-09 22:29
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-06-09 22:40