Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-09-05 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 5–3 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 71.26%1.40odd justa
EV -0.946%
Vantagem -0.680%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.20%71.15%71.43%73.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.341.331.3978.74%74.87%75.19%71.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 28.74%3.48odd justa
EV +3.46%
Vantagem +0.960%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.98%28.85%28.57%30.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.353.373.6032.79%29.86%29.72%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 71.26%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 28.74%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.48. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +3.46%E +0.960%K +1.33%G +0.046%3.0%2026-09-04 14:24
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV +2.31%E +0.648%K +0.901%G +0.021%2.2%2026-09-04 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.2%2026-09-04 14:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 12:54
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.07%E -6.26%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.07%E -6.26%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -1.14%E -0.332%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -1.14%E -0.332%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.72%E -0.502%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -2.87%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.15%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -1.66%E -1.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 14:25
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:24
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -9.50%E -7.48%K -35.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:10
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:34
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:24
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -0.946%E -0.680%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.37%E -1.73%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:30
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.66%E -1.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.66%E -1.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.35%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.35%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91%-0.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-09-04 14:25
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35