Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 5–3 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 71.26%1.40cote équitable
EV -0.946%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.20%71.15%71.43%73.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.341.331.3978.74%74.87%75.19%71.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.74%3.48cote équitable
EV +3.46%
Avantage +0.960%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.98%28.85%28.57%30.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.353.373.6032.79%29.86%29.72%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Los Angeles Dodgers (Local) : 71.26% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 28.74%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.48. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +3.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +3.46%E +0.960%K +1.33%G +0.046%3.0%2026-09-04 14:24
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV +2.31%E +0.648%K +0.901%G +0.021%2.2%2026-09-04 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.02%E +0.569%K +0.792%G +0.016%3.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.2%2026-09-04 14:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.583%E +0.166%K +0.233%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-04 12:54
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.07%E -6.26%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -8.07%E -6.26%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.854%E -0.248%K -0.349%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -1.14%E -0.332%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -1.14%E -0.332%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.72%E -0.502%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.29%E -0.674%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.93%E -4.50%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -2.87%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.15%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -1.66%E -1.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 14:25
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:24
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -9.50%E -7.48%K -35.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -3.73%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:10
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:34
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.16%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.51%E -3.36%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:24
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -0.946%E -0.680%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.22%E -3.93%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.04%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.37%E -1.73%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:30
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.66%E -1.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.66%E -1.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.08%E -2.27%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.35%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.80%E -2.81%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.35%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.39I 71.94%NM 72.09%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.91%-0.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-09-04 14:25
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Polymarket◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35