Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-09-04 02:10 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 71.41%1.40odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -3.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.20%71.52%71.43%74.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.331.331.3880.65%75.29%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 28.59%3.50odd justa
EV +5.77%
Vantagem +1.56%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescimento +0.123%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%28.48%28.57%30.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.383.353.7032.26%29.58%29.85%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 71.41%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 28.59%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.50. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.77%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.88%E -6.10%K -27.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.5%2026-09-04 02:05
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.88%E -6.10%K -27.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.5%2026-09-04 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.88%E -6.10%K -27.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.5%2026-09-04 02:05
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.88%E -6.10%K -27.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +5.77%E +1.56%K +2.14%G +0.123%4.5%2026-09-04 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.59%E -6.71%K -30.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.34%E +1.19%K +1.64%G +0.071%5.5%2026-09-04 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.30%E -7.33%K -34.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +4.34%E +1.19%K +1.64%G +0.071%6.1%2026-09-04 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -9.30%E -7.33%K -34.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +4.34%E +1.19%K +1.64%G +0.071%6.1%2026-09-04 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -11.45%E -9.23%K -47.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV +1.48%E +0.416%K +0.580%G +0.009%8.8%2026-09-04 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV +0.334%E +0.095%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 02:05
theScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -0.809%E -0.233%K -0.328%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.38%E -0.400%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.38%E -0.400%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -2.88%E -2.11%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -1.67%E -0.484%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -2.88%E -2.11%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -1.67%E -0.484%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 02:05
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.16%E -1.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -2.24%E -0.654%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-04 01:50
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.88%E -2.11%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 01:29
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:05
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 01:30
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.81%E -0.826%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.67%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 02:05
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.88%E -2.11%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.24%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.24%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 00:15
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.24%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.24%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.24%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -4.53%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -5.10%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:59
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 22:10
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 01:19
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 18:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 23:40
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.60%EV -2.16%E -1.58%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -5.95%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.81%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:25
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.30%E -3.21%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.81%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.88%E -2.11%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:05
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 01:59
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:10
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.02%E -3.77%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.59%E -2.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.53%E -2.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.73%E -4.34%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.53%E -2.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.45%E -4.92%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.96%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 01:43
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -10.81%E -3.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 02:04
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -7.16%E -5.51%K -23.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.41%EV -10.81%E -3.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 02:03
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.45%E -1.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.45%E -1.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 02:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-09-04 02:05
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.88%0.5%2026-09-04 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-04 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-04 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-04 02:00
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-04 01:55
BetOpenly◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20%1.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-04 02:05
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-03 22:25
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-04 02:05