Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 6–8 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 72.04%1.39fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.84%72.16%71.90%73.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.56%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 27.96%3.58fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.931%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%27.84%28.10%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.413.403.7031.75%29.35%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 72.04%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 27.96%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -5.62%E -4.29%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +3.44%E +0.931%K +1.28%G +0.044%3.4%2026-09-03 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -7.07%E -5.48%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV +2.33%E +0.635%K +0.874%G +0.020%4.8%2026-09-03 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.05%E +0.561%K +0.772%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-03 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV +1.77%E +0.485%K +0.669%G +0.012%2.1%2026-09-03 02:10
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.648%E +0.180%K +0.249%G +0.002%4.7%2026-09-03 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.648%E +0.180%K +0.249%G +0.002%4.7%2026-09-03 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.79%E -6.08%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.648%E +0.180%K +0.249%G +0.002%5.9%2026-09-03 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -0.190%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -0.190%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 02:09
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.750%E -0.211%K -0.294%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 02:09
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -1.03%E -0.291%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -1.31%E -0.371%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 01:30
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.15%E -0.614%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.15%E -0.614%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 02:04
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.15%E -0.614%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 02:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.02%E -1.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -2.71%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -2.71%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -3.27%E -0.944%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.02%E -1.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.02%E -1.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 02:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.02%E -1.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -2.74%E -2.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 01:20
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 01:49
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.62%E -4.29%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.55%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 01:15
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 01:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.62%E -4.29%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 02:09
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 01:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.07%E -5.48%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.94%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -5.50%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:09
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.34%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:15
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.34%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.34%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.34%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.34%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 01:15
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.34%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.34%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 01:20
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -7.18%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 02:08
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.74%E -2.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 01:50
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 02:09
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 02:04
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.72%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:45
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.07%E -5.48%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.74%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 02:08
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.46%E -2.58%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.86%E -2.72%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:14
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.18%E -3.15%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.14%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.14%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 02:09
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.35%E -4.88%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.14%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.79%E -6.08%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.02%E -1.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.93%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 00:15
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.02%E -1.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.93%E -3.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-09-03 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-03 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-03 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-03 02:05
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-03 02:10
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-03 02:10
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-03 02:10
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-03 02:10
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%2.6%2026-09-03 02:10
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%2.6%2026-09-03 02:10