L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 68.64%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -4.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.01%68.41%68.65%69.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.95%71.43%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.36%3.19cote équitable
EV +0.356%
Avantage +0.111%
Kelly +0.162%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.34%31.59%31.35%33.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.053.2037.04%33.10%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +0.356%E +0.111%K +0.162%G +0.001%2.7%2026-05-14 02:05
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +0.356%E +0.111%K +0.162%G +0.001%2.7%2026-05-14 02:05
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +0.042%E +0.013%K +0.019%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 02:09
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.85%E -1.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-14 00:05
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 02:10
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 23:40
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 01:35
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 21:34
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 01:59
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:00
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 02:10
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.34%E -5.44%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 02:00
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.34%E -5.44%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 02:10
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.41%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 02:05
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -3.41%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -3.41%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.72%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:10
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 22:55
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 01:35
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 01:35
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.53%E -1.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 21:29
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:00
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 05:39
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 02:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 02:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 21:39
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:05
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 02:10
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 02:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 02:10
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.80%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 02:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 02:35
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:55
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.85%E -1.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.53%E -1.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.53%E -1.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.33%E -5.68%K -9.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 02:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 69.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.38%-0.3%2026-05-14 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-14 01:50
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-13 23:10
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-14 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-14 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-14 02:10
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-14 02:10
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-14 02:10
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-14 02:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10