La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-05-14 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 68.64%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -4.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.01%68.41%68.65%69.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.95%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 31.36%3.19momio equitativo
EV +0.356%
Ventaja +0.111%
Kelly +0.162%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.34%31.59%31.35%33.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.053.2037.04%33.10%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +0.356%E +0.111%K +0.162%G +0.001%2.7%2026-05-14 02:05
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +0.356%E +0.111%K +0.162%G +0.001%2.7%2026-05-14 02:05
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV +0.042%E +0.013%K +0.019%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 02:09
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.85%E -1.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-14 00:05
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 02:10
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 23:40
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 01:35
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 21:34
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 01:59
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:00
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 02:10
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.34%E -5.44%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 02:00
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.34%E -5.44%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.78%E -0.897%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 02:10
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.41%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 02:05
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -3.41%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -3.41%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.72%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -4.04%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 00:10
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 22:55
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 01:35
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 01:35
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 01:35
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:10
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.53%E -1.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 21:29
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 02:30
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 00:00
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 05:39
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 02:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 02:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 21:39
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.22%E -2.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:05
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 17:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 02:10
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 02:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 02:10
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -7.80%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 02:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.91%E -2.79%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 02:35
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.28%E -3.82%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:55
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.85%E -1.29%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.53%E -1.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.53%E -1.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -4.59%E -3.30%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -15.33%E -5.68%K -9.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 69.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.38%-0.3%2026-05-14 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-14 01:50
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-05-13 23:10
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-14 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-14 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-05-14 02:10
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-14 02:10
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-14 02:10
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-14 02:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%5.5%2026-05-14 02:10