Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 7–0 San Diego Padres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 53.65%1.86fair odd
EV -0.202%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.235%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.43%53.59%53.49%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.761.8659.52%56.44%56.82%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 46.35%2.16fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.891%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%46.41%46.51%47.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.062.052.2051.81%48.50%48.66%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 53.65%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 46.35%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -9.86%E -5.87%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +1.96%E +0.891%K +1.63%G +0.032%5.0%2026-09-22 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -2.88%E -1.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -0.358%E -0.167%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-23 02:01
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.358%E -0.167%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-22 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.75%E -0.825%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.75%E -0.825%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-22 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:10
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 02:10
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 02:10
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 23:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 20:14
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.27%E -0.693%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -3.14%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-23 02:05
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-23 02:09
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 02:01
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 14:33
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.07%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 20:29
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.07%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 14:54
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.07%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 15:19
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.202%E -0.109%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.53%E -2.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.53%E -2.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.53%E -2.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.53%E -2.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.202%E -0.109%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-23 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.202%E -0.109%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-23 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 02:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 02:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 02:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-23 02:05
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 02:00
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 02:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 02:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 02:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.44%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-23 02:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.81%E -0.990%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 02:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-23 02:10
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 02:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.49%E -2.52%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.57%E -3.16%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-23 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 02:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.10%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.77%E -3.91%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-23 02:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -9.32%E -5.52%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -10.55%E -5.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-23 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-09-23 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-09-23 02:10
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-23 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-09-23 02:05
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-09-23 02:10
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-09-23 02:10
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-09-23 02:01
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-09-23 02:09
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-09-23 02:10